ISA analyses enrolment trends in the Independent sector and across Australia to enhance understanding of schooling. Using the latest Australian Bureau of Statistics Population Projections and other data, ISA has analysed historical, current, and future enrolment trends for Independent, Catholic, and government schools, focusing particularly on Independent schools.
This analysis aims to provide a framework to better understand the trends in Independent schooling, as well as nationally, and to inform a comprehensive understanding of schooling in Australia.
The figures in this report have been compiled using comprehensive national enrolment data, sector-specific growth projections, and independent analysis of demographic trends across Australia, ensuring a thorough and accurate representation of the Independent school sector.
Key Findings from the report:
- Fastest growth in Australia’s schools: Between 2022 and 2023, Independent schools saw a 3.8% increase in enrolments. This growth far outpaces both the Government and Catholic sectors, which grew by 0.3% and 1.4%, respectively.
- Regional and remote growth: Growth in regional areas has been particularly strong, with 24% of new enrolments over the past five years being in regional and remote Australia. This reflects a broader trend of Independent schools meeting the needs of families outside major cities.
- Diverse and inclusive: More than 60% of enrolments in Independent schools come from low- to middle-income families, and 22% of Independent school students are students with disability. The sector also educates over 19,000 Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander students, reinforcing the sector’s role in supporting Australia’s most vulnerable communities.
- ISA projects that by 2033 Independent schools will enrol 19.7% of all Australian students. This growth will necessitate the establishment of approximately 282 new Independent schools or campuses, with the majority needed in New South Wales, Victoria, and Queensland.